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Monday, April 7, 2014

Update on Bears Playoff Chase

Eastern Conference Standings

Rank Team GP W L OTL SL Points
1 Manchester Monarchs 72 45 19 2 6 98
2 Springfield Falcons 71 44 21 1 5 94
3 Binghamton Senators 70 41 23 1 5 88
4 St. John's IceCaps 70 42 22 2 4 90
5 Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins 71 40 23 3 5 88
6 Providence Bruins 71 38 23 2 8 86
7 Albany Devils 71 35 23 5 8 83
8 Hershey Bears 70 37 25 4 4 82
9 Norfolk Admirals 70 36 25 2 7 81
10 Worcester Sharks 71 34 31 4 2 74
11 Hartford Wolf Pack 71 33 31 1 6 73
12 Syracuse Crunch 70 29 30 4 7 69
13 Bridgeport Sound Tigers 71 27 36 2 6 62
14 Adirondack Phantoms 70 27 36 1 6 61
15 Portland Pirates 70 24 35 3 8 59

Remaining Bears Games

Date Home or Away? Opponent Time of Game
Fri 4/11 Away Binghamton Senators 7:05
Sat 4/12 Away Springfield Falcons 7:00
Sun 4/13 Home Binghamton Senators 7:00
Wed 4/16 Away Norfolk Admirals 7:15
Fri 4/18 Away Norfolk Admirals 7:30
Sat 4/19 Home Adirondack Phantoms 7:00

Analysis

At the current moment, the Manchester Monarchs and the Springfield Falcons are the only two teams to have clinched anything. Manchester has clinched a playoff spot, and Springfield has clinched their division. Syracuse, Bridgeport, Adirondack, and Portland have all been eliminated from playoff contention.

Looking at where the Bears stand, it's quite the interesting situation. It's good for them to be in that 8th spot finally, but they only have it by a point. With how Norfolk can play, they have to keep up their current pace. Also, you have to look that the Bears, if they make the playoffs, have a chance of getting a better seed than 8th. They have a game in hand on Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Providence, and Albany. If those teams would struggle in these last games, Hershey could possibly get to a better seed.

The remaining schedule for the Bears leads them to almost control their own destiny. They have two games against the leader of their division, the Binghamton Senators. Between those games is a matchup against the 2nd place team in the conference, the Springfield Falcons. Those three games are some of the toughest the Bears could have all season. The pressure is immense, let alone the fact that those are two good teams.

The pressure gets even more immense, as they then play two games against the team right behind them in 9th, the Norfolk Admirals. Depending on how the three games before go for the Bears, this could be the fight for the final playoff spot. Even if it's not a fight between Hershey and Norfolk, it could change the outcome of the fight between one of those teams and possibly Albany.

The final game is a home game against one of the weakest teams in the conference, the Adirondack Phantoms. It's the last game for the Bears' rival before they move to Allentown to become the Lehigh Valley Phantoms. Depending on the previous games, Adirondack could be a spoiler for the Bears in their playoff hopes, and the games between these two teams always turn into a battleground.

In my opinion, if the Bears can keep the pace they've been going at, they can make the playoffs. I think they could get to the 7th seed, due to Albany being so close in the points, but I'm not sure if Wilkes-Barre/Scranton and Providence will struggle enough for the Bears to take their spots. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton could even take the division, depending on how Binghamton plays. Here's how I think the standings will play out:

Rank Team
1 Manchester Monarchs
2 Springfield Falcons
3 Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
4 St. John's IceCaps
5 Binghamton Senators
6 Providence Bruins
7 Hershey Bears
8 Norfolk Admirals
9 Albany Devils
10 Worcester Sharks
11 Hartford Wolf Pack
12 Syracuse Crunch
13 Adirondack Phantoms
14 Bridgeport Sound Tigers
15 Portland Pirates

What do you think? Do you think the Bears will make the playoffs?

1 comment:

  1. I think they will. The Bears are always a threat come Playoff time. If they do, you bet GIANT Center will be rocking like always. A team who has won so many Calder Cups like they have are always good choice to make the Playoffs.

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